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2024-12-14 00:13:24

Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.The concept of first-round economy continued to increase the daily limit of more than 10 constituent stocks, and the concept of first-round economy continued to increase in intraday trading. Media games, IP economy, performing arts and travel, and Meta-Universe all rose well. More than 10 constituent stocks such as Aofei Entertainment, Lisheng Sports, Dafeng Industry, Tianxiaxiu, and Roman shares rose by more than 10%.Fat Donglai is working out stricter measures to solve the problem of purchasing, including real-name purchase and regular quantitative purchase system. On December 13th, Yu Donglai issued a document saying: Fat Donglai is working out stricter and more effective measures! In the future, including real-name purchase and regular quantitative purchase system! Discuss and formulate relevant systems to control purchasing behavior and lift the membership of permanent fat east!


Huaan, AVIC, etc. lined up to enter the ranks of public offering warehousing logistics REITs. According to the announcement of AVIC Fund, the AVIC Yishang warehousing logistics REITs jointly built with ESR Group, the largest new economic real estate management company in the Asia-Pacific region, are being issued. This is the first REIT issued by ESR Group in China, and its infrastructure assets consist of three warehousing and logistics parks, namely, Phase I, Phase II and Phase III of Fulaide Kunshan Logistics Park. According to the data of wind, up to now, Huaxia Fund, harvest fund, Huatai Securities Asset Management, Hongtu Innovation Fund and CICC Fund all have a listed warehousing and logistics REIT, while Huaan Waigaoqiao REIT, which was established on December 12th, has not been listed yet. In addition, Huaxia Fund and southern fund's newly declared warehousing logistics REIT are in the inquiry stage, while Huitianfu's warehousing logistics REIT is in the feedback stage.As of the close of early trading, the Nikkei 225 index fell by 1.2% and the Dongzheng index fell by 1.3%.Defender said that Li Tie had not decided whether to appeal, and Li Tie's defender was interviewed by CCTV reporters outside the court. Regarding the first-instance judgment that Li Tie was sentenced to 20 years, the defender said that Li Tie had not decided whether to appeal, and he would negotiate with Li Tie again. Regarding the state of Li Tie's trial today, the defender's answer is: calm, peaceful and stable. (Tiantian Sports)


On the 13th, the No.20 rubber fell by 2.05%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract No.20 rubber 2502 was closed, with a turnover of 159,100 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 5,142 lots. A total of 205,200 lots were traded in the No.20 rubber futures contract, an increase of 8,176 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 84,200 lots, an increase of 812 lots over the previous day. Short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 94,500 lots, a decrease of 1,708 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)The cultural media sector rose and strengthened, with more than 10 daily limit shares, including Tianyu Digital, Guangbo, Palm Reading Technology, vision china, Huizhou Intelligent, Guangdong Media, Tianxiaxiu and Lingnan.On the 13th, the European futures of the container freight index rose by 7.03%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the data of the exchange, as of December 13th, the European futures of the main contract container freight index closed at 2502, up or down by +7.03%, with a turnover of 41,900 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were net, and the difference position was 3,022 lots. A total of 78,900 lots of European futures contracts were traded, an increase of 8,599 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 25,100 lots, an increase of 466 lots over the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 22,100 lots, a decrease of 120 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)

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